Aix-Marseille Université, Faculté d’économie et de gestion, INSHS CNRS
Patrick Pintus is Professor at Aix-Marseille Université, affiliated with the Faculté d’économie et de gestion (FEG) and INSHS CNRS. His research lies at the intersection of macroeconomics, growth, and economic dynamics, with a particular interest in the mechanisms shaping long-run development and fluctuations. Through his academic work, he contributes to advancing economic research within both the French and international scholarly communities.
ADDITIONAL RESOURCES
SELECTED PUBLICATIONS
A comparative analysis of infection and mortality in reassessing africa’s COVID-19 dynamic using time-varying tests
BackgroundIt is commonly believed that Africa largely evaded the worst of the COVID-19 pandemic, with fewer cases than other continents. However, regional comparisons that ignore differences in testing intensity may misrepresent dynamics. Studying the spread and case-fatality relationship during COVID-19 across WHO regions requires explicitly adjusting for time-varying test volumes.MethodsWe build a weekly panel dataset...
Sensitivity to Rare and Extreme Events: Quasi-Complete Black Swan Avoidance vs Partial Jackpot Seeking in Rat Decision-Making
Correcting the reproduction number for time-varying tests: A proposal and an application to COVID-19 in France
We provide a novel way to correct the effective reproduction number for the time-varying amount of tests, using the acceleration index (Baunez et al., 2021) as a simple measure of viral spread dynamics. Not correcting results in the reproduction number being a biased estimate of viral acceleration and we provide a formal decomposition of the...
The dangers of policy experiments: initial beliefs under adaptive learning
The paper studies the implication of initial beliefs and associated confidence on the system’s dynamics under adaptive learning. We first illustrate how prior beliefs determine learning dynamics and the evolution of endogenous variables in a small DSGE model with credit-constrained agents, in which rational expectations are replaced by constant-gain adaptive learning. We then examine how...
The inverted leading indicator property and redistribution effect of the interest rate
The interest rate at which US firms borrow funds has two features: (i) it moves in a countercyclical fashion and (ii) it is an inverted leading indicator of real economic activity: low interest rates today forecast future booms in GDP, consumption, investment, and employment. We show that a Kiyotaki–Moore model accounts for both properties when...
An Economic Perspective on Epidemiology
An Economic Perspective on Epidemiology - Archive ouverte HAL Recherche Accéder directement au contenu Pied de page Logo Logo Documentation FR Français (FR) Anglais (EN) Se connecter HAL science ouverte Recherche Loading... Recherche avancée Information de documents Titres Titres Sous-titre Titre de l'ouvrage Titre du volume (Série) Champ de recherche par défaut (multicritères) + texte...
COVID-19 Acceleration and Vaccine Status in France-Summer 2021
ObjectivesThis note provides an assessment of COVID-19 acceleration among groups with different vaccine status in France.MethodsWe assess viral acceleration using a novel indicator introduced in . The acceleration index relates the percentage change of tests that have been performed on a given day to the percentage change in the associated positive cases that same day....
Ce que nous voulons et pouvons savoir lors d’une pandémie
Qui aurait pensé en octobre, au début de cette année académique, que non seulement les bureaux et les salles de cours seraient fermés du fait des manifestations contre la réforme des retraites, que des séminaires seraient annulés pour protester contre la loi de programmation pluriannuelle de la recherche (LPPR) et qu’ensuite, nous soyons confinés à...
Tracking the dynamics and allocating tests for COVID-19 in real-time: An acceleration index with an application to French age groups and départements
An acceleration index is proposed as a novel indicator to track the dynamics of COVID-19 in real-time. Using data on cases and tests in France for the period between the first and second lock-downs—May 13 to October 25, 2020—our acceleration index shows that the pandemic resurgence can be dated to begin around July 7. It...
The impact of infrastructure investments on income inequality: Evidence from US states
Our analysis of US state‐level data on an annual frequency, from 1976 to 2008, sheds new light on a plausible causal link between infrastructure investments, namely public spending on highways, and income inequality. This causal relationship is drawn out using the number of seats in the US House of Representatives Committee on Appropriations (HRCA) as...